Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.140117 0.159277 0.180472 0.205720 0.235059 0.268173 0.308517
2026-02-01 0.108405 0.133605 0.164166 0.204236 0.255795 0.320454 0.408540
2026-02-08 0.089314 0.116652 0.152092 0.201976 0.271299 0.365597 0.505934
2026-02-15 0.076258 0.104232 0.142457 0.199412 0.283686 0.406310 0.602963
2026-02-22 0.068657 0.097599 0.139000 0.203858 0.305353 0.462324 0.732012
2026-03-01 0.060816 0.089324 0.131694 0.200949 0.314647 0.500049 0.838511
2026-03-08 0.055182 0.083484 0.127043 0.201074 0.328155 0.545955 0.967265
2026-03-15 0.050452 0.078397 0.122786 0.200972 0.340830 0.591936 1.105037
2026-03-22 0.047308 0.075424 0.121468 0.205439 0.361845 0.655921 1.290876
2026-03-29 0.044312 0.072325 0.119507 0.208367 0.380253 0.717818 1.486096
2026-04-05 0.041611 0.069417 0.117492 0.210819 0.397935 0.781056 1.698719
2026-04-12 0.039550 0.067392 0.116771 0.215517 0.420637 0.858457 1.962634
2026-04-19 0.037030 0.064351 0.113970 0.215998 0.435151 0.921852 2.211967
2026-04-26 0.034649 0.061341 0.110925 0.215627 0.447885 0.983931 2.476018
2026-05-03 0.032302 0.058173 0.107239 0.213437 0.456213 1.037233 2.731630
2026-05-10 0.030143 0.055162 0.103547 0.210746 0.462931 1.087851 2.994503
2026-05-17 0.028964 0.053941 0.103293 0.215487 0.487966 1.190034 3.444619
2026-05-24 0.027122 0.051242 0.099747 0.212390 0.493306 1.241182 3.749477
2026-05-31 0.025742 0.049357 0.097716 0.212524 0.506841 1.317739 4.165485
2026-06-07 0.024456 0.047557 0.095691 0.212416 0.519748 1.395334 4.613048
2026-06-14 0.023667 0.046726 0.095684 0.217173 0.546528 1.520105 5.283517
2026-06-21 0.022801 0.045658 0.095047 0.220292 0.569341 1.638084 5.976012
2026-06-28 0.021956 0.044565 0.094249 0.222905 0.591200 1.758348 6.729972